I took a sample of past election results of 2003 the last off-year election. In 2003 there was a county-wide candidate for the Assessors race and that brought voters out. Four years later with no county-wide race, both Democratic and republican candidates saw some big drop-offs in numbers. The Nassau GOP can't say that any of thier issues impacted the races because in some cases the republican drop-off was greater than Democrats. In the end, the percentages were pretty much the same from 4 years ago.
3rd LD
Ciotti (R) …….5604
DeAngelis (D)…….4430
2007
Ciotti (R).......5,337
Mirza (D).......3,967
Democrat Down 463
Muscarella …….8449
DeFelice (D)…….3127
2007
Muscarella (R).......7,633
Uhl (D).......2,347
Muscarella Down 816
Democrat Down 780
Nicollelo (R)…….8494
Tamares (D)…….3822
2007
Nicolello (R).......6,974
Sokol (D).......2,870
Nicolello down 1520
Democrat down 952
12th LD - 2003
Schmitt (R).......9241
Rennhack (D).......3754
2007
Schmitt (R).......8,783
Rennhack (D).......2,712
Schmitt down 458
Democrat down 1042
13th LD -2003
Gonsalves (R)....... 7613
Zimmerman (D).......5075
2007
Gonsalves (R).......6,979
Rossi (D)......3,656
Gonsalves down 634
Democrat down 1419
15th
Dunne (R)……7749
Clark (D)…….3614
2007
Dunne (R).......7,295
Clark (D).......2,841
Dunne down 454
Democrat down 773
16th
Jacobs (D).......9550
Doyle (R).......4464
2007
Jacobs (D).......7,267
Girardi (R).......4,340
Republican down 124
17th
Mangano (R)....... 8348
Burns-Gleason (D)....... 3789
2007
Mangano (R).......7,352
Guarglia (D).......2,403
Mangano down 996
Democrat down 1386
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